“So the impact to the industry is surely going to grow over time,” she said. The gear might make a dent in crash frequency “perhaps beginning in 2020.”
For now, frequency would probably grow at 3.5 to 5 percent in 2016, and “maybe even 2017,” Gotsch said.
About 20 percent of the vehicles with collision avoidance had a glass-mounted form of the technology, but CCC predicted more OEMs would opt to stick the system into the bumpers going forward. (This could cast further questions onto the effects of aftermarket bumper components on these systems.)
CCC often classifies work related to the new technology as non-included operations, and estimators and appraisers should keep this in mind.
“Time to recalibrate sensors and cameras, for example, is not included in replacement labor time, and may vary depending on the complexity of the system,” Gotsch said. A presentation slide pointed out that all collision avoidance technology must be recalibrated if the technology activated during the collision.
The same slide noted that CCC didn’t treat any electronics module resets, computer relearns or memory resets as included operations, though some other electronics operations have made it into CCC.
Cameras and radar on the Volvo V40 are shown in this rendering. (Provided by Volvo)
2015-16 model year vehicles with advanced safety technology made up less than 2 percent of all CCC-recorded crashes through September of last year, CCC industry analyst Susanna Gotsch said. (Screenshot of CCC video from YouTube)
CCC often classifies work related to the new collision avoidance technology as non-included operations. (Screenshot from CCC video on YouTube)